- Oct 30, 2007
it would be interesting to see the numbers for the 2nd chart for 2021.
Democrat/Democrat lean: 46.25%
Republican/Republican lean: 43.5%
The second chart shows annual averages, so Democrat/Democrat lean would still be leading, but Gallup's polling shows a significant shift over the past 3 to 6 months. It will be interesting to see if that carries over in 2022. It appears that Republican's haven't held a commanding annual lead in this poll since the early 90's.
2021 was a rough year for Biden and the Democratic party due to the pandemic, inflation, and the Afghanistan exit. There's a lot of blame to go around on all of those issues, but Democrats are receiving the brunt of it due to the fact that they're in power.
All that being said, people have short memories. I could see Democrat support bouncing back if the pandemic wains and inflation comes down. It will be interesting to see what happens between now and the midterms.