Mid Term Elections

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CowboyJD

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I fully expect the Democrats to lose the Senate, that's almost guaranteed to me.

A also mostly expect that they'll lose the House as well.

The more important and interesting angle to me is how many avowed Trumpers primary out more moderate Republicans and how many avowed Trumpers or avowed anybody but Trumpers get re-elected. That will be an indication to me as to the direction of the Republicans and whether or not Trump is "in the rear view mirror'.
 

TheMonkey

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Sep 16, 2004
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I fully expect the Democrats to lose the Senate, that's almost guaranteed to me.

A also mostly expect that they'll lose the House as well.

The more important and interesting angle to me is how many avowed Trumpers primary out more moderate Republicans and how many avowed Trumpers or avowed anybody but Trumpers get re-elected. That will be an indication to me as to the direction of the Republicans and whether or not Trump is "in the rear view mirror'.
Agree 100%.
 
Dec 18, 2019
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I fully expect the Democrats to lose the Senate, that's almost guaranteed to me.

A also mostly expect that they'll lose the House as well.

The more important and interesting angle to me is how many avowed Trumpers primary out more moderate Republicans and how many avowed Trumpers or avowed anybody but Trumpers get re-elected. That will be an indication to me as to the direction of the Republicans and whether or not Trump is "in the rear view mirror'.
I’m not sure if anything is a guarantee. Here is the list of available seats

Democrats (14)
Michael Bennet (Colorado)
Richard Blumenthal (Connecticut)
Catherine Cortez Masto (Nevada)
Tammy Duckworth (Illinois)
Maggie Hassan (New Hampshire)
Mark Kelly (Arizona)
Patrick Leahy (Vermont)
Patty Murray (Washington)
Alex Padilla (California)
Brian Schatz (Hawaii)
Chuck Schumer (New York)
Chris Van Hollen (Maryland)
Raphael Warnock (Georgia)
Ron Wyden (Oregon)


Republicans (20)
Roy Blunt (Missouri) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
John Boozman (Arkansas)
Richard Burr (North Carolina) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
Mike Crapo (Idaho)
Chuck Grassley (Iowa)
John Hoeven (North Dakota)
Ron Johnson (Wisconsin)
John Kennedy (Louisiana)
James Lankford (Oklahoma)
Mike Lee (Utah)
Jerry Moran (Kansas)
Lisa Murkowski (Alaska)
Rand Paul (Kentucky)
Rob Portman (Ohio) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
Marco Rubio (Florida)
Tim Scott (South Carolina)
Richard Shelby (Alabama) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
John Thune (South Dakota)
Patrick Toomey (Pennsylvania) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
Todd Young (Indiana)
 

CowboyJD

The Voice of Reason...occasionally......rarely
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I’m not sure if anything is a guarantee. Here is the list of available seats

Democrats (14)
Michael Bennet (Colorado)
Richard Blumenthal (Connecticut)
Catherine Cortez Masto (Nevada)
Tammy Duckworth (Illinois)
Maggie Hassan (New Hampshire)
Mark Kelly (Arizona)
Patrick Leahy (Vermont)
Patty Murray (Washington)
Alex Padilla (California)
Brian Schatz (Hawaii)
Chuck Schumer (New York)
Chris Van Hollen (Maryland)
Raphael Warnock (Georgia)
Ron Wyden (Oregon)


Republicans (20)
Roy Blunt (Missouri) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
John Boozman (Arkansas)
Richard Burr (North Carolina) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
Mike Crapo (Idaho)
Chuck Grassley (Iowa)
John Hoeven (North Dakota)
Ron Johnson (Wisconsin)
John Kennedy (Louisiana)
James Lankford (Oklahoma)
Mike Lee (Utah)
Jerry Moran (Kansas)
Lisa Murkowski (Alaska)
Rand Paul (Kentucky)
Rob Portman (Ohio) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
Marco Rubio (Florida)
Tim Scott (South Carolina)
Richard Shelby (Alabama) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
John Thune (South Dakota)
Patrick Toomey (Pennsylvania) Has announced he will retire at end of term.
Todd Young (Indiana)
That's why I said "almost guaranteed".

The party in power in the office of the President historically loses seats in both houses in the first midterm of the first four years of the President.
 
Nov 23, 2010
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Hassan, Kelly and Warnock all have to be tough holds for the Democrats.

Rubio will have a tight one but probably win. I haven't seen who is running in the Republican primary in PA, but that one will be tough. OH should be a Republican hold, but the two leading Republican candidates are doing their best to Todd Akin it.
 
Sep 22, 2011
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All I know is that both sides will make this election just as existential or more so than the last, people will put their jersey on and vote for their team and the cogs will continue to grind as we continue the empire's death spiral