An OP Original A data-based analysis of "Bluebloods" and Oklahoma State's changing place in that story

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Nov 27, 2007
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Tulsa
#22
Alum in AZ
This is a very non-biased analytical approach to looking at this and it is very interesting and lines up with a lot of conventional thinking.

I am not even sure how you would quantify this, but most blue bloods have an era of dominance. When looking at it from a macro across eras, I feel that era can be made to look less significant that what it should be in the grand scheme of things. A key example of this is KSU. They were complete garbage before Bill Snyder came, and in his 17-20 years they were a power football program. A few of those years, they had some of the best teams in the country. Not only were they a dominate force, but this in the height of the Big 12 dominance.

This comes into context when you see a team like Boise State ranked above them. Boise State, I assume, is boosted above them largely by total wins over the eras when KSU was garbage. BSU had the luxury of playing a pretty much mid-major teams over those years and was not going up against the Nebraska's, OU's, later Texas' every year. BSU had a few nice years but nothing compared to what KSU was able to accomplish.

So I just think when you are dominate for an era it should hold more weight, than looking only at it as part of a collective. I don't know if that makes since or how you would quantify that, but its just how I see it.
 
Nov 8, 2013
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#23
Hi folks, 2020 was obviously a hyper strange year for college football. I went ahead and updated my "blue bloods analysis" spreadsheet based on the season results, even though the number of games played varied by conference, many bowl games were cancelled, etc. I only updated the totals and ranking for the original 60 teams and did not re-analyze the different team groupings (Shooting Stars, Falling Rocks, etc.).

There is really nothing new here as the changes in ranking vs. 2019 only happened when teams were already clustered closely together. It is nice to see that Miami dropped a spot. Getting the extra points for a Bowl Win would have helped them. Unfortunately, we didn't move up at all. But we're within 3 points of the next 3 teams ahead of us.

I have added spacers to the list below reflecting groupings of "50 points". It just goes to show how far ahead the top of this list is from the rest of the schools.

School / Total Points / Change vs. 2019
Alabama / 418.99 / 0
- - - - - - - -
Oklahoma / 350.05 / 0
- - - - - - - -
Ohio State / 340.18 / 0
USC / 304.13 / 0
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
Florida State / 247.54 / 0
Nebraska / 242.65 / 0
Clemson / 237.2 / 0
Texas / 226.84 / 2
LSU / 224.99 / -1
Michigan / 224.57 / -1
Florida / 204.65 / 0
- - - - - - - -
Georgia / 196.65 / 1
Miami / 196.5 / -1
Auburn / 188.69 / 0
Notre Dame / 186.51 / 0
Tennessee / 177.12 / 0
BYU / 170.27 / 0
Penn State / 163.25 / 0
- - - - - - - -
Texas A&M / 149.71 / 1
Oregon / 147.76 / 1
Washington / 146.63 / -2
Michigan State / 139.65 / 0
Wisconsin / 137.65 / 1
Georgia Tech / 135.37 / -1
UCLA / 131.26 / 0
TCU / 130.54 / 0
West Virginia / 127.57 / 0
Iowa / 124.35 / 0
Ole Miss / 121.43 / 3
Arizona State / 120.7 / -1
Utah / 119.99 / -1
Virginia Tech / 118.99 / -1
Colorado / 116.54 / 1
Pittsburgh / 116.46 / -1
Arkansas / 116.25 / 0
Oklahoma State / 113.84 / 0
Boise State / 108.96 / 0
Stanford / 106.48 / 0
Syracuse / 104.64 / 0
Minnesota / 102.13 / 0
NC State / 102.02 / 1
Louisville / 101.68 / -1
- - - - - - - -
Texas Tech / 98.58 / 0
North Carolina / 97.12 / 0
Baylor / 95.44 / 0
Boston College / 94.15 / 0
Missouri / 90.64 / 0
Cal / 88.46 / 0
Navy / 88.05 / 0
Illinois / 87.06 / 0
South Carolina / 81.91 / 0
Mississippi State / 76.52 / 2
Kansas State / 76.34 / -1
Purdue / 75.22 / -1
Virginia / 72.45 / 0
Arizona / 71.29 / 0
Oregon State / 67.45 / 0
Army / 66.28 / 0
Northwestern / 64.73 / 1
Washington State / 61.59 / -1
 
Last edited:
Nov 8, 2013
493
316
613
#24
Alum in AZ
This is a very non-biased analytical approach to looking at this and it is very interesting and lines up with a lot of conventional thinking.

I am not even sure how you would quantify this, but most blue bloods have an era of dominance. When looking at it from a macro across eras, I feel that era can be made to look less significant that what it should be in the grand scheme of things. A key example of this is KSU. They were complete garbage before Bill Snyder came, and in his 17-20 years they were a power football program. A few of those years, they had some of the best teams in the country. Not only were they a dominate force, but this in the height of the Big 12 dominance.

This comes into context when you see a team like Boise State ranked above them. Boise State, I assume, is boosted above them largely by total wins over the eras when KSU was garbage. BSU had the luxury of playing a pretty much mid-major teams over those years and was not going up against the Nebraska's, OU's, later Texas' every year. BSU had a few nice years but nothing compared to what KSU was able to accomplish.

So I just think when you are dominate for an era it should hold more weight, than looking only at it as part of a collective. I don't know if that makes since or how you would quantify that, but its just how I see it.
KSU is definitely an interesting situation. They sure were garbage for a long time - that's how I remember them in the 80's when I was at OSU. They certainly did rise for a while - some would even say it was "miraculous". :) But they didn't win enough bowl games or make enough noise at the national level to really jump up. And even if they did win a national championship or two, have a Heisman winner, etc... their prior history would still weigh against them in my total model. I agree with you that teams like Boise State get unfair beneficial treatment in my model. I don't complicate the model with strength of schedule factors as I think it would have been impossible to get for the older eras.