If Football Is Cancelled

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Jul 25, 2018
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Can't imagine this being sustainable. We just got through testing our entire employee pool at work (300+ employees) and I heard it cost us $39k+.
Some of the new saliva tests are reportedly as cheap as $4 each, so I think the sustainability's close to being a reality. The PAC12 has already offered loans to its' member schools somewhere north of $50 million.

I work with the University of Colorado athletes & trainers & one of the trainers & I were talking about this test a couple of weeks ago & they were pretty pissed about the PAC12 pulling the plug so soon because of this exact scenario.
 
Jul 25, 2018
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An interesting angle that's come up in the last few days, with the B1G & PAC 12possibly starting their season later is what happens to the playoffs? I agree with Dabo here, screw 'em, they made their bed & now they can lie in it.

For them to qualify for the playoffs, they'd have to begin play October 10th in order to get in a 10 game season. They've got 5 weeks from tomorrow to get started. That's what Dan Patrick is reporting right now & he's not the type to put that out there without some pretty solid info.





https://www.espn.com/college-footba.../clemson-dabo-swinney-cfp-wait-big-ten-pac-12
 
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May 4, 2011
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Can't imagine this being sustainable. We just got through testing our entire employee pool at work (300+ employees) and I heard it cost us $39k+.
Tests supposedly cost $5. Even with 400 athletes, that's 2k per day. They'd incur an extra 730k if they did it for a full year (they won't). That's peanuts compared to the millions they're losing.
 
Jul 25, 2018
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PAC12 commissioner Larry Scott on Dan Patrick talking about the new tests. Says schools won't have them until October 1st. 6 of the 12 schools still don't have local clearance for contact practices.

Says it doesn't change their decision not to play this fall, but leaves the door open for it.
 
Jul 25, 2018
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How much TV revenue, etc... will be lost by not playing?

As I said, the conference is offering loans in the $50 million plus range to its' members. Scott didn't say how many schools were taking it, but he said it's there for them. They have to pay it back over time, but apparently, they have access to funds to navigate this.
 

RxCowboy

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Nov 8, 2004
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How much TV revenue, etc... will be lost by not playing?

As I said, the conference is offering loans in the $50 million plus range to its' members. Scott didn't say how many schools were taking it, but he said it's there for them. They have to pay it back over time, but apparently, they have access to funds to navigate this.
If they actually end up not playing then they'll lose a ton of revenue. If they start playing in January, I dunno. But any way you slice it the Pac-12 is in trouble.
 
Jul 25, 2018
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If they actually end up not playing then they'll lose a ton of revenue. If they start playing in January, I dunno. But any way you slice it the Pac-12 is in trouble.
So the whole point is they're already in debt, so testing's not sustainable?

How could they finance playing the season then, which costs exponentially more than the testing?
 
Mar 11, 2006
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If they actually end up not playing then they'll lose a ton of revenue. If they start playing in January, I dunno. But any way you slice it the Pac-12 is in trouble.
This is speculation:
But my assumption is Pac-12 is under the least amount of pressure to play college football. As we know, a massive chunk of P5 schools athletic budget comes from TV rights for football. ESPN/ABC, Fox, CBS, and NBC (for Notre Dame) pay big $$$$ for those TV rights.

Those rights are broken out by network. ESPN owns the ACC and SEC Network. Fox owns Big10. ESPN and Fox share the Big 12. Contracts are written in a way that if a minimum number of games are not played and offered for TV per year that the conference must pay back a percentage of rights rights. If 0% is played, 0% is owed by the network to pay the conference.

The Pac-12, however, is slightly different than the other P5 conferences. They are the only conference which owns it own network (Pac-12 Network). Granted, they are having problems with the network, ie noted speculation that they are now looking for a buyer. Also, although they own their own network , they do sell many games to ESPN and Fox. However, since they keep their own network, they presumably would not feel full impact of paying back rights fees (ie make-goods). And they would see a significant savings in zero production costs which they have to absorb and other conferences do not.

All that said, testing is peanuts compared to losing a full season of TV rights fees (about $25 million per Pac-12 school per football season).